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UK’s risk aversion stifles growth
City AM
The UK has become the most risk-averse investment market globally, according to a report by SIX. Nearly 47% of UK financial professionals cite investor reluctance as a major barrier to growth, compared to a global average of 32%. This risk aversion affects capital flows and sentiment, with half of UK executives viewing market uncertainty as a challenge. Writing in City AM, David Stevens, CEO of Aquis Exchange, points to the need for a cultural shift towards responsible risk-taking. He suggests promoting investment in high-growth sectors and providing clearer regulatory guidance to restore confidence in the market. |
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Unemployment rate hits highest since 2021
Financial Times City AM London Evening Standard The Independent
The Office for National Statistics reported that the UK’s unemployment rate rose to 5.1% in the three months to October, the highest level since early 2021. The increase reflects a challenging job market, particularly for younger workers, with youth unemployment reaching 16%. Average wage growth also declined to 4.6%, down from 4.7%. KPMG UK chief economist Yael Selfin noted: “Younger workers bearing the brunt of the slowdown in labour market activity.” The rate of unemployment in London jumped from 6.5% to 6.8%. The data suggests a weakening labour market, prompting speculation about potential interest rate cuts by the Bank of England. However, Thomas Pugh at RSM said total pay growth “remains too fast for the MPC to relax”. |
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Labour’s workers’ rights bill clears final hurdle
Financial Times BBC News City AM The Guardian
Labour’s Employment Rights Bill has successfully passed its final parliamentary stage and is expected to become law before Christmas. Business Secretary Peter Kyle expressed delight, stating the legislation will modernise outdated employment laws and enhance workplace dignity. However, it is expected to cost employers £5bn every year with the Conservatives warning it would lead to rising unemployment. Key provisions include access to sick pay and paternity leave from day one, along with protections for pregnant women. Unite union’s general secretary Sharon Graham urged swift implementation, while the Conservatives raised concerns about potential impacts on small businesses. |
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Hospitality chiefs say Labour ignored tax warnings
The Daily Telegraph The Guardian
Warnings issued to Labour last summer that changing business rate calculations would leave pubs with higher bills were ignored, hospitality chiefs have claimed. Allen Simpson, of trade body UK Hospitality, said: “The Government knew months in advance that rateable values for hospitality businesses were set to increase significantly. We warned that only the maximum 20p business rates discount would be enough to deliver lower bills. The Government chose not to heed those warnings.” The average rateable value of UK pubs has jumped by 30% to £40,245, according to tax firm Ryan, and that’s before the removal of 40% pandemic-era tax relief. |
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Tax digitalisation: HMRC’s big push
Daily Mirror
HM Revenue and Customs (HMRC) has sent letters to over 200,000 individuals affected by upcoming tax changes. From April 6, 2026, sole traders and landlords with income over £50,000 must use Making Tax Digital (MTD) for Income Tax. HMRC encourages early participation in the pilot programme to ease the transition. Craig Ogilvie, MTD director, stated: “Tax is changing… now’s the time to start preparing.” HMRC estimates that 780,000 self-employed individuals and property owners will need to adopt MTD by 2026, with an additional 970,000 by 2027. |
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DIY investors hit by tax hikes on dividends and savings
City AM Daily Express
DIY investors are concerned about upcoming tax increases following the Budget. Over 70% of investors worry about higher taxes on dividends, property, and savings. From April 2026, basic rate taxpayers will see dividend tax rise to 10.75%, while higher rate taxpayers will face a 37.75% charge. Additionally, the cash ISA limit will drop to £12,000, and the income tax threshold freeze will extend to 2031, potentially dragging 920,000 more individuals into the 40% tax band. Rob Morgan, chief investment analyst at Charles Stanley, said that while further pressure was applied to businesses in the Budget, “it was moderate to high earners and wealthy individuals who were most in the firing line this time.” |
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US pauses UK tech deal amid tax tensions
The Daily Telegraph City AM The Globe and Mail
The US has paused the US-UK tech pact, after the Chancellor reaffirming the digital services tax in her Budget. The £31bn agreement, aimed at boosting the UK’s AI sector, faced suspension due to US frustrations over Britain’s non-tariff trade barriers and a potential clampdown on AI chatbots. Under the Tech Prosperity Deal, Britain and the US agreed to work together on quantum computers and artificial intelligence, while the likes of Microsoft, Google, Nvidia and OpenAI pledged to invest tens of billions of dollars in Britain. Despite the setback, UK officials remain committed to reviving the deal. |
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FSB warns of $250tn shadow banking market
Non-bank financial groups, including insurers and hedge funds, saw their assets grow by 9.4% to $256.8tn, surpassing banks for the first time since the pandemic, according to the Financial Stability Board (FSB). In contrast, bank assets increased by only 4.7% to over $191tn. The FSB raised concerns about the risks posed by non-banks, particularly regarding leverage and liquidity mismatches. The FSB added: “Bank financing of offshore hedge funds or private credit funds, for instance, can be systemically significant, yet remain outside standard sectoral statistics.” |
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Tax on unearned income sparks outrage
From April 2029, employees with side hustles will pay tax on unearned income through their PAYE tax code. This change, revealed in the recent Budget, has drawn criticism from accountants. Mike Warburton, a former tax director at Grant Thornton, stated: “It’s a tax on income you haven’t earned yet, which is fundamentally unfair.” The Treasury estimates the measure will raise £925m, but it risks overtaxing workers with fluctuating incomes. Chris Etherington from RSM warned that many may need to monitor their PAYE coding closely to avoid overpayments. |
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